BACKGROUND: Real-time automated continuous sampling of electronic medical record data may expeditiously identify patients at risk for death and enable prompt life-saving interventions. We hypothesized that a real-time electronic medical record-based alert could identify hospitalized patients at risk for mortality.METHODS: of 14 acute organ dysfunction parameters was detected. The systemic inflammatory response syndrome and organ dysfunction alert was applied in real time to 312,214 patients in 24 hospitals and analyzed in 2 phases: training and validation datasets.RESULTS: In the training phase, 29,317 (18.8%) triggered the alert and 5.2% of such patients died, whereas only 0.2% without the alert died (unadjusted odds ratio 30.1; 95% confidence interval, 26.1-34.5; P < .0001). In the validation phase, the sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and positive and negative likelihood ratios for predicting mortality were 0.86, 0.82, 0.84, 4.9, and 0.16, respectively. Multivariate Cox-proportional hazard regression model revealed greater hospital mortality when the alert was triggered (adjusted hazards ratio 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 3.3-4.9; P < .0001). Triggering the alert was associated with additional hospitalization days (+3.0 days) and ventilator days (+1.6 days; P < .0001).CONCLUSION: An automated alert system that continuously samples electronic medical record data can be implemented, has excellent test characteristics, and can assist in the real-time identification of hospitalized patients at risk for death. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Real-Time Automated Sampling of Electronic Medical Records Predicts Hospital Mortality
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